Dan Bylsma is the worst coach in the NHL
Savvy internet users, such as the base of loyal Pensburgh readers, may be fimiliar with the prose of a great blog called "Fire Joe Morgan". The blog was run by regular sports fans (who happened to be brilliant television writers) that got tired of hearing sports journalists, like the namesake announcer Joe Morgan, make ridiculous statements. So piece by agonizing piece, they broke apart articles and statements to show the utter ludicrousy of what didn't make sense, but got a lot of attention from the famous sources that spouted the misinformation.
What you're about to see is a feeble attempt at that style, thanks to the analytic hockey website Puck Prospectus-- a place to find interesting nuggets and research -- which dropped a bomb last week. They said Pittsburgh Penguins coach Dan Bylsma is the worst head coach of an NHL team.
Ironically, most of the FJM criticism was started when "old school" folks like Joe Morgan dismissed actual stats to talk about "toughness" and "grittiness" as to why a baseball player may get on base or come through in the clutch. What you're about to see is pretty much the opposite of that and just flies in the face of plain common sense.
Roll up your sleeves and let's take the jump, please, if you dare...
Entitled: the best and the worst, which went up on December 17th and has somehow eluded me until now (italics is their work, regular font is the response)..
Every year, coaches make good decisions and bad decisions.
You can just tell by this almost disclaimer of a statement we're gonna have a big one on our hands, can't you?
We've seen goalies start for longer than should have been expected, players incorrectly and correctly used in special teams situations, and we've seen skaters who have received too much or too little time on the ice.
We've seen this! And then we sit back and monday morning quarterback after the fact!
Sometimes these mistakes comeback to hurt a team, while at other times they have very little impact on a team's record
Sometimes statements like these make no sense. If a coach continually makes poor decisions and puts his team in a position to lose, why doesn't the team's record decline over a long period of time? Maybe the mistakes he makes aren't really that egregious, now are they?
Best Coach
Jacques Lemaire, New Jersey Devils
Hard to argue this; Lemaire's been brilliant. He's one of the game's finest minds and was installed to a team that won arguably the toughest division in hockey last season that sent four teams to the playoffs and hasn't missed a beat. No bone to pick here, Lemaire's a great puppet-master pulling the strings in NJ on a perfect team for his system and style to flourish, since it has been doing so for 15+ years now.
Worst Coach
Dan Bylsma, Pittsburgh Penguins
Yeah, that Dan Bylsma. The guy who led a 10th place team to a playoff berth and a Stanley Cup winner before he ever got a training camp as an NHL coach. In his first season as a professional head coach. You know, the guy that's #1 amongst all coaches throughout league history in winning percentage.
Putting aside a hot stretch of five games from March 15 - March 25, Dan Bylsma’s world-beating Pittsburgh Penguins were a tepid 14 for 87 (16.1%) on the power play during their magical 18-3-4 run to close out the season, a poor performance masked by overall success.
Yeah, so aside from winning he had a below average power-play last season. The first thing anyone thinks about in Bylsma's first season is his team's PP rate and not how the fact they kept winning kind of masked that.
16.1% was also the Penguins PP% under Michel Therrien in 2008-09, but that was without the contributions of power play quarterback Sergei Gonchar––Pittsburgh’s third best GVT per game––for all but two of those games.
The Penguins power play hit at the same rate without Bylsma as it did with him. Another reason he's clearly a bad coach.
We can ignore the small sample size right
We could ignore more than just the sample, yes.
Actually, no.
Ok then, what else you got.
The star-studded Pens are even worse now – an unfathomable 29th on the man advantage in 2009-10, based on a dismal 18 for 134 (13.4%) success rate
That damn coach is just not scoring very much on the power play. Surely all the failures of execution must be his fault, since the article has exonerated the star-studded talent that's actually playing with the man advantage.
In addition, the Penguins’ talent shines through despite Bylsma’s puzzling decisions on playing time, such as his continuing infatuation with replacement level Craig Adams (0.6 GVT in 30 GP, 12:09 TOI) while underutilizing superior talent such as Tyler Kennedy (2.6 GVT in 16 GP, 12:52 TOI).
Adams gets ice time, because he's killing penalties to the tune of 2:32 a night this season, on a Pens PK that's been ranked in the top 10 league wide all season. Kind of difficult to generate goals when your role is to keep them out of the net.
In terms of even strength ice-time, Adams is the 13th ranked Penguin forward with 9:13 a night. Kennedy is 7th with 12:15 per night. Both stats make sense, being as TK is a 3rd line forward and Adams is a 4th liner. There's no infatuation, just a guy getting more minutes in a penalty killing situation.
Limiting Alex Goligoski (5.7 GVT in 21 games in 2009-10, equivalent to a 22.3 full season GVT) to only two playoff games in 2008-09 told you pretty much everything you needed to know about Bylsma’s abilities of talent evaluation.
Right off the bat, it's incredibly misleading to use Goligoski's 2009-10 stats to illustrate why he should have been playing in 2008-09. It's as if if the stats don't play to their advantage for the time period mentioned.
Goligoski played 45 games as a rookie in the NHL last season, 44 of which came as an injury replacement for Gonchar. Goligoski was re-assigned to the AHL on February 7th, a full week before Bylsma was hired as the new NHL coach.
Goligoski got in two games in the middle of the second round of the playoffs (again as an injury replacement for Gonchar) but Bylsma chose to use a Stanley Cup winning veteran like Philippe Boucher for 9 games in the playoffs, many of those nights when Pittsburgh dressed 7 defensemen. The inclusion of Boucher was the right choice, as he gave solid minutes, suffered no mental mistakes that rookies are prone to. And Boucher only played in 7 games that Goligoski didn't.
So then who should have sat?
- Brooks Orpik and Sergei Gonchar were the #1 pairing and played well. Goligoski couldn't have done any better than either one of them, especially since he isn't adept at killing penalties at the NHL level.
- Rob Scuderi and Hal Gill were the shutdown pairing. You can count on one hand the number of goals they allowed against Jeff Carter (46 regular season goals), Alex Ovechkin (56), Eric Staal (40) and Marian Hossa (40) scored while matched up against them at even strength, which the Penguins attempted to do any possible time. [2 by AO, 1 from Staal, btw].
- Kris Letang and Mark Eaton; both have a boatload more NHL experience and Letang had a great playoffs, even though he was hurt.
The answer is no one. Alex Goligoski, given his inexperience at the NHL level, should not have played above any defenseman that Pittsburgh had. They simply had better players, who were in a groove and used to each other's styles. Though Goose surely has more skill and skating ability than guys like Gill and Scuderi, he didn't demonstrate their ability to play away from the puck.
Who’s to say they couldn’t have defeated the Capitals or Red Wings in fewer than seven games by maximizing the ice time of their best players?
Puck Prospectus has designated Kennedy (a 3rd liner with then 25 career NHL goals) and Goligoski -- who was 8th on the defensive depth chart as the Penguins "best players". Instead the Penguins chose to maximize the ice time of Sidney Crosby, Evgeni Malkin, Jordan Staal and Bill Guerin. You know, the players that were actually contributing the most goals and assists.
Put Bylsma as coach of the Wild or the Islanders, and his public perception would radically change.
Put Therrien back as the head coach and do the Penguins even climb out of their 10th place hole which had a 27-25-5 to even make the playoffs last season? Also it's funny they cite the Wild -- where their best coach Jacques Lemaire used to be -- and he won exactly 0 playoff series in his last five seasons there.
So yeah, there's no doubt Bylsma benefits from the immense depth and talent found in Pittsburgh. That's a huge leg up on a lot of coaches around the league that don't have it. At the same time, the team was no juggernaut when he arrived.
The Bylsma Doctrine, for lack of a better term has made all the difference. Puck possession, cycle down low, outshoot the opposition, force them to take penalties, control the play. That's the reasons the Pens are an elite team and those are not the aspects that a taskmaster like Therrien stressed.
The Penguins are the 6th best team in the NHL currently with a 1.24 G/F vs G/A ratio. They're 5th in the league in shots on goal, and 5th in the league in shots allowed, with the best differential in the NHL. That's why they currently have (points wise) the 5th best team in the NHL as of right now.
Is the power play struggling? You bet. The "buck stops" with Bylsma, he's the head coach, but he's tasked special teams off to his assistants. Should he look into imprinting himself more there? Perhaps.
Dan Bylsma is a lot of things; the most winning coach in history in his brief career, a Stanley Cup champion and has navigated his club past the talk of Stanley Cup hangovers. If that's the wrong, I don't want to see right.
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Well they did lose to Toronto and blew tonight's game vs. Buffalo.....
LOL. I judge coaches by the W’s and L’s and if he’s getting the best out of his players and matching up lines and mixing up properly. Blysma’s record and cool head in the playoffs speak for themselves. I am concerned about the dismal PP. No way this team should be 29th on the PP. I’m also concerned about MAF’s play of late. Subpar. Sure hope they can get back on track against NJ, whom they’ve struggled mightly against, hate to see the 4 pts that they’ve left on the ice the past 2 games… I suppose these clowns would pin that on Blysma as well. LOL
forgive my ignorance
but isnt a lot of the special teams strategy and a lot of the “little things” on the shoulders of the assistants, while the big picture stuff is reserved for the head guy?
Yes, but ultimately the responsibility for everything strategic and execution lies with the head coach.
While true, the guy wearing a suit doesn’t score goals, the players do.
Crosby, Malkin, Gonchar — these guys know what they’re doing, they’re just not executing.
You come at the king, you best not miss.
Further, one cannot simultaneously say that it’s the players’ fault for not producing on the PP and say that the coach is to be credited with the Stanley Cup win from the year prior.
This line right here says it all for me
Also it’s funny they cite the Wild — where their best coach Jacques Lemaire used to be — and he won exactly 0 playoff series in his last five seasons there.
Also, I wonder if they actually had a straight face when they typed
Putting aside a hot stretch of five games from March 15 – March 25, Dan Bylsma’s world-beating Pittsburgh Penguins were a tepid 14 for 87 (16.1%) on the power play during their magical 18-3-4 run to close out the season, a poor performance masked by overall success.
Let me rephrase it for them: Aside from a hot stretch of five games that would totally skew the stats against our argument, we can’t believe that the Penguins only scored on 16.1% of their power plays while winning more than 70% of their GAMES.
So if you don’t just blatently leave out those 5 games to skew your numbers, you get the following power play stats: 22-122 for 19.6%. So he actually improved the power play by 3 1/2 % from Therrien. And also, a 19.6% PP would put them 10th in the NHL last year.
So yea, anyone can make an idiotic point by skewing stats in their favor….
Absolutely ridiculous (but hilarious in another way). This is very similar to the number of people who have seemingly made it their full time job to prove that Brodeur is at best an “average” goalie. These types of “analysts” always seem to forget that its a results oriented business. A win is a win, and a championship is undoubtedly a championship…
A coach is only as good as his players...
Does anyone actually believe that Jacques Lemaire would have the Penguins playing better than Bylsma? It is amazing to me that sports franchises don’t step back and look at the big picture of success at this elite level. There is a reason that the Red Wings/Devils, Patriots/Steelers, Celtics/Lakers, (Not including baseball due to lack of cap) etc. are the cream of their respective sports. They have installed a TEAM philosophy. They know the system that their team plays and go out and find players and coaches who best fit that system and create an identity that transends any one player or coach. I believe this narrows their focus on the types of players that are evaluated and allows the teams to have success in later rounds of the draft and target the second-tier free agents who can come in and fill holes.
The Penguins under Shero and Bylsma are slowly becoming one of these teams. WBS plays the same system that the big club does and when we were devastated with injuries, the young guys came in and were able to perform at a high level. This is not necesarily because they are going to be great NHL players, but because they already had a comfort zone with the system. Matt Cooke, Ruslan Fedotenko, Mike Rupp, Jay McKee are all tier-two free agents brought in that have performed as well, if not better, than ANY OTHER TIME in their respective careers. This is not by accident. Our talent evaluators knew what they wanted and only targeted certain guys to fill the SYSTEM.
Did anyone catch the talk in last night’s game about the number of coaching changes since Lindey Ruff has been the Sabres coach? 149!!! That is roughly EACH team having 5 coaching changes, and how many of these coaches that got fired got re-hired by another team? This makes no sense to me. At some point the front office and THE PLAYERS have to be held accountable for playing poorly. It just seems too easy to point the finger at the coach and fire him. Don’t get me wrong, when you have a square peg coach, like Therien, trying to install his system on a round-hole team, the results are pathetic. But the successful franchises in the NHL have not done this.
I couldn’t have possibly said it better. It’s funny you mention the Patriots because Belichick said basically the same thing. Pointing out that the Steelers and Colts do the same thing and will be in the hunt almost every year.
Forgot about the Colts. But you’re right. These teams stay consistent from year to year because they realize the window of opportunity is the length of their core players career and possibly longer. The Devils are the epitome of this.
It also helps to have some of the best players in the game, but how much is that the product of good talent evaluation vs lucky draft position? I don’t know that there was anyone saying Malkin was going to win an Art Ross over Ovechkin. And we had the opportunity to draft some pretty good offensive guys over Staal (Toews is the only one coming to mind) and Shero took Staal to provide the depth down the middle, which only reinforces the style the Pens have adopted. Talbot, Kennedy, Letang, Gogo are all big contributors the Pens took after the first round, and WBS has more than a few late round guys that have, or will, contribute to the big club. Pretty good start for long term success.
From what I remember there wasn’t a consensus that Ocho was going to be better than Malkin in that draft. But, there was some concern about Malkin coming across the pond. I believe it was a 1 and 1a type of deal in the draft that year.
Ovechkin came with more hype attached, but hockey pundits said there wasn’t that much talent difference between the two.
Reportedly two or three teams had Malkin ranked above Ovechkin on their draft boards.
You come at the king, you best not miss.
If that's the best they can drum up for worst, I'm a bit surprised.
I’ve got to think “bombing with a Stanley-Cup level of talent” would be a more egregious fault; I almost think you can still toss John Stephens under the bus here; start with the perennial underachievers (where’s Jacques Martin in all of this, say?) and go from there.
There aren’t enough solid stats out there yet that separate coaching from player talent; dig a little deeper and you’ll find they really like ‘06-’07 Therrien (which, hey, there might be some coincidence between coaching development and player development – just guessing here; not like the Pens have any youngsters, right?). It seems like the argument basically comes down to “Bylsma sucks because the PP sucks”, which: perhaps the ST coach needs to get canned, not the HC.
Simulated Gameday Experience - just like the real thing, only we have smoke machines.
Can’t throw Stephens under the bus for that article because he’s not a coach anymore. Otherwise he’d be the obvious choice.
Eh, you can take his carcass out for one more ride.
Just for old times’ sake.
Simulated Gameday Experience - just like the real thing, only we have smoke machines.
by Chris Pendley on Dec 31, 2009 12:38 AM EST up reply actions
I absolutely love it. "You won the Stanley Cup, but you didn’t win it right. Seriously, how do you type that out and not expect people to go off on you? That’s the kind of thing that once written you actually have to re-read and think “does this actually make sense?”
Love it.
It weighs 35 pounds - unless you're hoisting it above your head.
Isn’t this the same fine publication that said Crosby’s hurting the team?
Anyway, good fisking. The original author so deserved it. As always, I love the picture and caption you used to illustrate it, too.
Oh, and I got inspired to link to this and share another recipe at my blog: Worst Coach in the NHL
"Darling, you say Brooks Orpik 'checked' that guy. He did not 'get under him and put him into the wall'."--Beloved to me, Winter 2007
Cocktails With the Penguins, where Pens fans toast victories and drown defeats.
It took me a bit to find the article you meant. Here it is.
Reading beyond the headline (which appears to be a bit sensationalistic and not terribly indicative of the article itself), Awad is saying that Crosby’s PP production has been minimal (well, yes), and that he was taking a boatload of dumb penalties (well, yes). This was from a month ago. Since then the PP hasn’t gotten any better, but he’s only taken I think one minor penalty, so that part of the article wouldn’t apply.
I found this article odd right off the bat when someone dropped it in comments a week or two ago. I sometimes think the whole player > coach conversation does have a place in sports from time to time, but with the way things transitioned after DB got hired last season stands as evidence alone in my books as to what stood out as the catalyst of the season. He (and the players) took a team bound for an early offseason and turned it into a playoff contender. He (and the players) put together a healthy regimen of workouts that were both heavy on ice but fun at the same time and changed morale to the right “we can do it” attitude. Upon being hired, he (and the players) were completely lost but knew something needed to be done. Bylsma, he of no NHL coaching experience, more or less carried the torch down a dark cave of the unknown and eventually found the Stanley Cup at the end of the tunnel. He (and the players) eventually took the season from the clutch of not being contenders, to the ultimate position of no contest.
So really, I don’t see how you can say either one did it on their own. At first the coaching move looked like a giant question mark of concern but you can’t deny the fact that the slate was wiped clean. So it really could’ve gone either way and I think that’s what made the gamble and ultimate end result so perfect. To say Bylsma didn’t have a part in that, or rather didn’t do it “right,” is just absurd.
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