What to look for in game 5 and how the pens steal one in the joe
Well, since im going to be out of the loop this weekend for a much deserved break from work I figured it would behoove me to throw some analysis out there and get some reactions
- Top Six wingers?
- Even though the pens have taken the last two games our top six wingers have been largely absent this series. Sure tank and Talbot have produced but Bill Guerin and Chris Kunitz sure have been kept silent. If the pens are going to win on Saturday night one of them must put one in the net. I would also expect to see tank continue to play well. He was great in game 4 as was the entire second line.
- Goaltending
- MAF has slowly settled into a grove over the past two games and when you look at his performances as a whole this series they have been solid outings. Yes he let in softies in the first two games but when those went in the games were largely decided anyway. Meanwhile at the other end Osgood has been slipping. There is rampant speculation as to the nature of that slip. Some say he’s getting old, some say his defense is letting him down, but hardly anyone is saying it’s because the penguins are wearing him down. If the wings win tomorrow it will be because Chris Osgood regained his form.
- The X factor
- The x factor in the equation tomorrow is obviously does Datsyuk play? If he does how effective is he? How Mobile is he? Is his timing there? Will his injury prevent him from logging significant ice time? How will his injury affect his ability to match up against either Sidney or Geno? To me there are just too many questions to answer and given the nature of his injury (foot) I find it hard to believe he will have that significant of an impact. I also would not put it past the pens to go after that foot (Matt Cooke anyone). Part of the reason Gonchars return in the semis was effective was because Bylsma was able to mitigate his ice time and put him in advantageous situations. That really can’t be done in this case for the red wings because of age, and defensive responsibilities. I go into this a bunch more in the thread discussing dats’s return.
Final thoughts
- In closing I think the pens weather the storm early and pull away late again. MAF pitches a one hitter and the pens win 3-1, taking a lead in the best of seven with a chance to skate around home ice with the cup.
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Comments
1) Guerin and Kunitz have both had their chances, ‘ol Billy especially. One has to wonder whether Babcock will keep Zetterberg shadowing Crosby, or move him more to cover Geno who has been the bigger threat lately. Granted, Geno may be the bigger threat simply because Sid has been facing Z, so who knows maybe once Zetterberg is off of Crosby his (Sid’s) line explodes…we’ll have to see.
I think a bigger point (your sub-topic is about the Top Six Wingers) is whether Staal’s line will be able to capitalize on their chances they create down low. I love to see Kennedy, Cooke, and Staal cycle the puck for a solid shift, but would like to see them create some traffic in front of the net and throw the puck there. If (one of those HUGE if’s here) Zetterberg stays on Crosby, we will need both Malkin’s and Staal’s line to produce in order to steal one at “The Joe”.
2) I hope Fleury has another Game 5 from 2008 SCFs. He definitely is looking REALLY solid in the crease and has been playing solidly when there are a bunch of bodies in front of him.
Osgood, well…what can ya say. The debate rages about whether he is a product of superior defense, or if he is legitimately deserving of his accolades. Personally, I have seen him make some spectacular saves, so I wouldn’t discount his skill. At the same time though, we have seen some chinks in his armor (Varlamov anyone?) developing the last couple games. Will he break completely? Or will he simply continue to be steady and let in the unavoidable goals (tic-tac-toe pass to Kennedy…Osgood didn’t have a chance).
3) We have been discussing this in the other thread, so I’ll refer to that one.
I never feel comfortable making predictions, but I would not be surprised to see this game end in 6. If (this IF is bigger than the last one…look out) the Pens can steal game 5, I expect them to not want to pass up the (black and) golden opportunity to seal it up at home.
"Government is not reason, it is not eloquence, it is force; like fire, a troublesome servant and a fearful master. Never for a moment should it be left to irresponsible action." - George Washington
by Hockey Beard in SLC on Jun 6, 2009 12:42 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
At the end there I meant to say: I would not be surprised to see this SERIES end in 6…
"Government is not reason, it is not eloquence, it is force; like fire, a troublesome servant and a fearful master. Never for a moment should it be left to irresponsible action." - George Washington
by Hockey Beard in SLC on Jun 6, 2009 1:09 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don’t know, Guerin and Kunitz have NOT been bad. Both have been steady point producers, and that lovely Kennedy goal in game 4 doesn’t happen without a marvellous play from Kunitz. But the larger point is that these guys contribute in ways that don’t necessarily translate into fantasy-league points: I’m VERY happy with how both have played in the postseason.
The X-factor, for me, is the Penguins pressure game down low. I’m not convinced that Osgood is breaking by any means; the Crosby and Kennedy goals were the game, and he had no chance on either one. That said, if the Pens are really rolling one gigantic, effective center after another out there (i.e., Crosby, Malkin, Staal, Crobsy, Malkin, Staal, etc.), it’s hard to imagine any team having a 60-minute answer for it.
Predictions? Yeah, this is a winnable game for Pittsburgh. I think if they grind away at the Wings they get this one.
P is for Latrobe.
by holiday park on Jun 6, 2009 1:04 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
we won it last year at the joe. lets do it again.
14 down, 2 to go. Let's go Pens!
by jetpen89 on Jun 6, 2009 3:04 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I concur with the above post.
Lets go Fleury, another 55 save game coming right up!
"Government is not reason, it is not eloquence, it is force; like fire, a troublesome servant and a fearful master. Never for a moment should it be left to irresponsible action." - George Washington
by Hockey Beard in SLC on Jun 6, 2009 5:17 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

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