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It's a pretty meaningless award, but hey it's yet one more time that Crosby beats Ovechkin, right?

almost 2 years ago Me2_tiny Hooks Orpik 46 comments 0 recs  | 

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Question that I’d like to debate on this thread:

Are the ESPY’s less meaningful than the regular NHL awards (Hart, Selke, etc.)?

Hockey Blogger at Pensburgh.com

by GoPens! on Jul 15, 2010 11:01 AM EDT reply actions  

How is that even a question?

SB Nation PIttsburgh

"Game's the same. Just got more fierce."

by Hooks Orpik on Jul 15, 2010 11:10 AM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

According to the stats that I’ve looked, Crosby should have won the Hart this year as the most valuable player. He didn’t obviously, but he did win the ESPY in that category. By that measure alone, the voters made the better choice than the hockey writer’s association.

Hockey Blogger at Pensburgh.com

by GoPens! on Jul 15, 2010 11:30 AM EDT up reply actions  

It’s a pretty meaningless award,

This could apply to both the NHL and ESPY awards.

After the travesty of 1989, when 85 goals and 199 points wasn’t good enough for a Hart Trophy, I try not to get to worked up about the NHL awards, especially considering the top 3 guys were really close and a decent case could have been made for each of them.

by PensAreYourDaddy on Jul 15, 2010 1:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

Come on now PAYD, 31 less goals and 31 less points is OBVIOUSLY enough for Wayne to win over Mario….

by mhuff13 on Jul 15, 2010 3:39 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah, I know, silly me. I mean, we all know Wayne went and made LA a hockey town, right? So of course he deserved to win. :-)

/tiptoesthroughthebullshit

by PensAreYourDaddy on Jul 15, 2010 11:27 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yup, the first thing I think of when I think of LA is….hockey. Maybe Ron Jeremy did something hockey related….

by mhuff13 on Jul 16, 2010 7:17 PM EDT up reply actions  

And just to clarify, since it looks a little confusing, I meant the top 3 guys this year were really close.

by PensAreYourDaddy on Jul 15, 2010 11:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

According to the guys that actually play the game, it’s AO. 3 straight times. You’re on a roll of late. Are the ESPY’s more important than the actual NHL awards? Well done, that’s some hard hitting investigation.

Lockout talk makes me want to go out and choke an old lady - Elliotte Friedman

by Rob Parker on Jul 17, 2010 10:34 AM EDT up reply actions  

F & B,

I’m not sure why you’re so hostile. A player or media personality who says Ovi is the best is just as worthless as a Caps fan who says the same thing while holding a sign that misspells Crosby’s name. Without looking beyond boxcar stats and examining the context of a player’s totals, it’s impossible to gauge how good this player really is.Yet neither the players nor media types understand this. Gabe and the rest of the advanced stats community have spent countless hours demonstrating why it’s critical to use context when looking at a player’s numbers. Since you don’t accept this as a premise, then there’s no point in you continuing to comment here.

And for the record, I wanted to compare Koivu and Backstrom, but of course that discussion was molded by Caps fans into a showdown between Crosby and Ovechkin.

Hockey Blogger at Pensburgh.com

by GoPens! on Jul 17, 2010 11:23 AM EDT up reply actions  

The ESPY is awarded by an organization notorious for not understanding hockey, voted on by fans that actually give credence to ESPN. It’s not like you and Gabe voted to the ESPY. It’s a joke award.

If you think the players don’t know who is a great player, then I don’t know what else to tell you. Those guys know what’s happening on the ice, they know what the nominees did, and they played against them. Thinking that your (mis)use of advanced stats trumps their knowledge is the height of hubris.

And Koivu v. Backstrom isn’t even a debate, that’s why you got jumped. You also ignored direct evidence that contradicted your “SE Effect” claims and then just bailed on the conversation.

If a Caps fan came here and tried to argue that Mike Richards was better than Sidney Crosby because of his defensive play, I suspect a similar reaction would result. It is ludicrous to suggest that Koivu is better than Backstrom, and then you tried to use the argument to backdoor into AO v. Sid, for the billionth time. That’s why you got jumped.

Lockout talk makes me want to go out and choke an old lady - Elliotte Friedman

by Rob Parker on Jul 17, 2010 1:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

If you think the players don’t know who is a great player, then I don’t know what else to tell you.

Just because someone is a hockey player or a GM doesn’t mean they can’t be wrong. Glen Sather and Steve Tambellini are examples of GM’s who have made bad decisions, and they know just as much if not more about hockey and it’s nuances than the players. It’s also ridiculous to say that “they know what the nominees did,” since West players almost never see East players. Beyond that, players outside of one’s division only meet 4 times a year in conference, so it’s tough to say that they know everything about the players when they play against most of them so infrequently. I doubt most players are familiar with more than a handful of the close to 900 skaters who saw ice time this year in the NHL.

Thinking that your (mis)use of advanced stats trumps their knowledge is the height of hubris.

Just because you disagree with someone’s conclusion doesn’t mean they’re mis-using statistics. Baseball stat-heads have spent a ton of time over the last decade working to show that what most GM’s and players thought (like Joe Morgan) actually wasn’t very accurate. Hockey statistics are also trying to do the same thing, and we’re learning a ton from it.

This is also run of the mill for almost every academic discipline. Professors and researchers disagree all the time about how to use and interpret statistics, but it’s childish to simply fall back on the tired and immature claim"You’re mis-using statistics!" It’s also arrogant, since you’re arguing that you have a special talent to see when statistics are properly used and when they’re not. I’ve never claimed I have that ability, nor will I ever try to argue that someone is mis-using stats just because I don’t agree with their conclusion.

Furthermore, If I don’t think Jordan Staal’s stats merited him the Selke, I say so. If I think Crosby’s stats merited him the Hart, I say so. I’m not a homer who ignores the stats when they tell me something I don’t like. The most basic point that should be very non-controversial is that Backstrom and Ovi have much better teammates and face much easier competition than Sid and Koivu. Not only is this ridiculously intuitive, but Corsi QoC and Corsi QoT also say so!! And before you jump on the QCOMP train, Gabe himself said to ignore this stat and focus more on Corsi QoC and QoT.

There’s really no room for personal attacks, especially when you can’t point to any particular instance where I’ve “mis-used” stats (whatever that even means).

And Koivu v. Backstrom isn’t even a debate, that’s why you got jumped.

If it’s not a debate to you guys, that’s fine. I think there are important things to consider beside point totals, and almost all of those things point in Koivu’s favor.

You also ignored direct evidence that contradicted your "SE Effect" claims and then just bailed on the conversation.

I didn’t ignore it because I read the comments, I just didn’t buy the arguments or analysis. Citing Backstrom’s or Ovi’s point totals against the Atlantic doesn’t disprove data covering close to a hundred players over multiple years. Sure the elite stars do well outside of their division; they might even do better. But that’s one or two cases that are the exception rather than the rule. SE players, on average, do 14% worse outside of their division. How much Ovi and Backstrom are aided by the weaker level of play in the SE is uncertain.

If a Caps fan came here and tried to argue that Mike Richards was better than Sidney Crosby because of his defensive play, I suspect a similar reaction would result.

I can’t speak for anyone else, but I’d look at the stats and see how they compared. Crosby has some advantages in defense over Richards, while Richards is better than Sid in other areas. Part of Richard’s game this year was also aided by skating regularly with Pronger, where Crosby received no similar benefit. That would factor in the equation too. But defensively, Richards might be better depending on your perspective; the difficulty is deciding how to classify and weight certain traits.

and then you tried to use the argument to backdoor into AO v. Sid, for the billionth time.

I just re-read through the comments, and you were actually the first to bring up Sid. The only comment I mentioned that involved Crosby was the relation between competition and teammates, and how he compared to Ovi. But if that’s too much to handle, then I won’t do it anymore.

Overall, I don’t see a lot of numbers or argument in your post. Just a lot of personal attacks and baseless assertions. I don’t care what you write over at Japer’s, but if you come over here, then I want to have a serious conversation involving advanced metrics and how they relate to our players. This is what I appreciate doing with Caps’ fans like Red Army Line and Knee High to Duck, who are great people and also provide thoughtful argument. If you don’t have any desire to engage in that type of debate, then the only point in you commenting is to stroke your ego.

Hockey Blogger at Pensburgh.com

by GoPens! on Jul 17, 2010 2:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

You cite one or two bad GMs to support the proposition that players don’t know what they are talking about? Well done.

Baseball and hockey are different. There are repeated discrete events in baseball, unlike free-flowing hockey where everyone’s stats are interrelated in some way, as you point out in the other thread.

Not only I, but Hooks Orpik has also challenged your use of QComp and some other stats. You ignored it then, I’m not getting into it now. QComp and QTeam (especially) are very circular and their fundamental data set (plus/minus) is flawed. You want to talk about social science? Social scientists don’t manipulate a flawed data set to turn it into something reliable. If the underlying numbers are flawed, no amount of manipulation will cure that. Plus/minus is not an accurate way to judge a player’s talent, so QComp and QTeam are not accurate ways to judge the “quality” of competition a player plays against. You ignore roles, and the fact that Sedin, Crosby, and AO all play against the toughest defensive competition every game. I know, you think that somehow teams are only matching against Crosby, but it’s not true and it’s a ridiculous proposition. They face substantially the same players so relying on QComp in the MVP debate is worthless.

Nobody would take Koivu over Backstrom. Not a GM, and not an objective fan. Holding onto the position makes you look less credible.

Citing Backstrom’s or Ovi’s point totals against the Atlantic doesn’t disprove data covering close to a hundred players over multiple years. Sure the elite stars do well outside of their division; they might even do better. But that’s one or two cases that are the exception rather than the rule. SE players, on average, do 14% worse outside of their division. How much Ovi and Backstrom are aided by the weaker level of play in the SE is uncertain.

So you have the direct evidence of how Nick performs out of the SE (better than against the SE) and you still ignore it by focusing on what other, less talented players did. The bolded is exactly why Nick is an elite player. Somehow you are missing this.

Richards is aided by Pronger? Interesting, considering his Selke nomination came without Pronger and most people that actually watched the Flyers thought Richards had a down year.

You’re misrepresenting the two comments you cite. Mine wasn’t to bring Sid into the direct debate, it was to show that FO can be cured, and that you know it. You brought Sid in as a “unlike AO, Sid isn’t buyoed by teammates.” The timestamps are also one minute apart.

The numbers are in the post, you’re just ignoring them. I’ve been commenting here since you were in short pants, so you don’t need to read me the rules of the road. You weren’t trying to have a serious conversation, you were trying to advance a ridiculous proposition. Both that Koivu is on Backstrom’s level, and that the ESPY could be a more legitimate trophy are ridiculous.

Ultimately my problem is the condescending nature you have about your argument. AO, Sedin, or Crosby could have won. It was as close an MVP race as we’ve seen recently, yet you seem to think that anyone that doesn’t agree with you just doesn’t know what they are talking about. 3 different votes came out 3 different ways. The players chose AO; the writers chose Sedin; and the unwashed ESPN masses chose Crosby (just like when he played less than half a season). Any one that has even a passing understanding of hockey and ESPN/ESPYs knows the ESPY is the least important/prestigious/reliable award, but since went to your guy you act like it might be on the same level as the Hart. Ridiculous. I wasn’t the first person that commented “How is that even a question?” That came from your crowd. You are literally the only person I have ever heard/seen suggest that the ESPY is even a legitimate NHL award, much less more important than the Hart/Pearson.

Lockout talk makes me want to go out and choke an old lady - Elliotte Friedman

by Rob Parker on Jul 17, 2010 4:33 PM EDT up reply actions  

You cite one or two bad GMs to support the proposition that players don’t know what they are talking about? Well done.

I’m not trying to prove a trend. Rather, I’m pointing out that even GM’s and players can have mistaken impressions about hockey. If I said “all GM’s and players know nothing about hockey,” and then cited only these two, then you could jump on me for not having evidence.

Baseball and hockey are different. There are repeated discrete events in baseball, unlike free-flowing hockey where everyone’s stats are interrelated in some way, as you point out in the other thread.

Absolutely, but they’re also similar because statistical analysis has greatly improved our understanding of the sport.

Not only I, but Hooks Orpik has also challenged your use of QComp and some other stats.

I haven’t mentioned QCOMP or QTEAM in this discussion at all. I’m using Corsi stats, which according to Gabe and others, work way better.

Social scientists don’t manipulate a flawed data set to turn it into something reliable.

How are Corsi stats flawed data? And how is reporting a number from behind the net “manipulating data.”

You ignore roles, and the fact that Sedin, Crosby, and AO all play against the toughest defensive competition every game.

Advanced stats (Corsi in particular) don’t indicate this to be true at all, and if you want to keep fighting it, then simply say you think advanced stats are garbage.

Nobody would take Koivu over Backstrom. Not a GM, and not an objective fan. Holding onto the position makes you look less credible.

I never actually said “after doing an extensive review of all of the statistics involved, I would take Koivu over Backstrom.” In fact when you asked me at Japer’s, here’s what I said:

Eh, I’m not sure. We don’t know how Backstrom’s point totals are affected by teammates and competition, and Koivu has everything else going for him. At this point it’s a lot of speculation.
So you have the direct evidence of how Nick performs out of the SE (better than against the SE) and you still ignore it by focusing on what other, less talented players did. The bolded is exactly why Nick is an elite player. Somehow you are missing this.

I actually said that Backstrom is elite in the part you bolded. And I’m not focusing on “other, less talented players,” but rather almost the entire sample. Nick is special in that he does better vs the Atlantic than the SE, but I’m not sure that’s the knockdown argument for his elite status.

Richards is aided by Pronger?

Anytime a player gets to play a lot of time with one of the best d-men in the game, not only his play but his statistics will be aided by that defenseman.

You’re misrepresenting the two comments you cite. Mine wasn’t to bring Sid into the direct debate, it was to show that FO can be cured, and that you know it. You brought Sid in as a "unlike AO, Sid isn’t buyoed by teammates."

A fleeting remark at the end of a comment isn’t intended to incite a massive debate.

The numbers are in the post, you’re just ignoring them.

There are actually no stats or number analysis in your posts on this thread.

Both that Koivu is on Backstrom’s level, and that the ESPY could be a more legitimate trophy are ridiculous.

I wanted to debate this issue, but you think it’s ridiculous and didn’t want to. That’s not on me.

Ultimately my problem is the condescending nature you have about your argument. AO, Sedin, or Crosby could have won.

I looked at the stats, thought Crosby should have won, and said it, and that’s condescending?!?! And then when I defend my work using advanced metrics, I’m also being condescending? I never said anyone whop disagrees with me is an idiot who doesn’t understand hockey, yet you’ve done that countless times when commenting on my work.

yet you seem to think that anyone that doesn’t agree with you just doesn’t know what they are talking about.

People on the BtN thread disagreed with me, and that was fine since they used stats and weren’t rude. I don’t have a problem with other people advancing a comprehensive argument that says AO or Sedin should have won the Hart.

You are literally the only person I have ever heard/seen suggest that the ESPY is even a legitimate NHL award, much less more important than the Hart/Pearson.

I actually didn’t. I think both it and the NHL awards are meaningless. I never once said “the ESPY is a legitimate award.” Nor did I say it’s more important than the Hart.

Hockey Blogger at Pensburgh.com

by GoPens! on Jul 17, 2010 6:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

Ummm … this is getting outta control?

Shero gets an A. Burkie gets a checkmark.

by PopRocks on Jul 17, 2010 6:14 PM EDT up reply actions  

agreed. at the same time, i wanna pop some popcorn and see where this goes. i’m mature.

we're not trading jordan staal.

by katielynn906 on Jul 17, 2010 6:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

it’s like watching a car crash about to happen… you know what’s coming but you just can’t look away…

Is it October yet?

Just so I never have to answer this again. I'm from Singapore so whenever you see me online, I'm either sleep deprived or just waking up.

by Alighieri on Jul 17, 2010 8:50 PM EDT up reply actions  

Or how about a soap on TV?
No matter how lame and cheesy it gets, your so invested in all the characters by the time it gets lame and cheesy that it’s extremely difficult to stop watching.

And I haven’t even gotten to the point of this thread: Congrats Sid on your ESPY! Even though I don’t really give a shit about it, and I’m sure you really don’t either, some one finally got it right, huh?
And to all those people who bitched and moaned the year he got it when he had the ankle injury: it’s not an award for who had the best year, it’s an award for who’s the best player period. Besides, that year, he took the Pens farther than 28 other teams so, in my mind, he more than deserved it.
Thank you very much.

I've told [a 9 months pregnant] Nathalie that she can't have the baby on a game night. I'm not missing a playoff game. -Mario Lemieux in 1993

by PensFan8725 on Jul 17, 2010 9:37 PM EDT up reply actions  

Nobody seemed interested in arguing that the ESPY was more important than the Hart. The first response pretty much demonstrates how silly a proposition it is. If you want to make your case, go for it.

You missed the point on basically the rest of the argument, so whatever.

Lockout talk makes me want to go out and choke an old lady - Elliotte Friedman

by Rob Parker on Jul 17, 2010 6:24 PM EDT up reply actions  

now that’s not fair… Quit squirreling the debate here.

Nobody seemed interested in arguing that the ESPY was more important than the Hart.

You cannot force us to defend a side that none of us took to begin with.

GP, & no one else for that matter, have never asserted that the ESPY’s were more important than the NHL awards. If anything GP (& a helluva lotta us) were arguing that they are equally important in the fact that they are both MEANINGLESS.

You pretty much just misconstrue the basic premise of the argument & started nitpicking semantics after a while.

Please, take a sip of water, we value your opinion but you got to tone it down with the assertions and especially the personal attacks…

Is it October yet?

Just so I never have to answer this again. I'm from Singapore so whenever you see me online, I'm either sleep deprived or just waking up.

by Alighieri on Jul 17, 2010 9:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

Please, take a sip of water, we value your opinion but you got to tone it down with the assertions and especially the personal attacks…

Yeah, especially when you come into enemy waters and become so hostile so quickly.

I've told [a 9 months pregnant] Nathalie that she can't have the baby on a game night. I'm not missing a playoff game. -Mario Lemieux in 1993

by PensFan8725 on Jul 17, 2010 9:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

Thank you.

Hockey Blogger at Pensburgh.com

by GoPens! on Jul 17, 2010 11:53 PM EDT up reply actions  

no problem…

I gotta stick up for my homeboy anyhow… Besides, the conversation started to get BullsFan annoying after about 3 exchanges between here & your +/- thread…

Is it October yet?

Just so I never have to answer this again. I'm from Singapore so whenever you see me online, I'm either sleep deprived or just waking up.

by Alighieri on Jul 18, 2010 3:37 AM EDT up reply actions  

I think you handled yourself very well, GP.

One Who Lives And Breathes All Things Penguins

by PensFanInDenver on Jul 18, 2010 10:55 AM EDT up reply actions  

if it’s any consolation, fehr, i still like you even if you don’t like the staal brothers all that much.

we're not trading jordan staal.

by katielynn906 on Jul 17, 2010 10:22 PM EDT up reply actions  

Fine entertainment, gentlemen

Though I might suggest next time sprinkling in a cool photo every now and then. Otherwise, it was absolutely brilliant and a fine read.

by PensAreYourDaddy on Jul 17, 2010 11:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

Though I might suggest next time sprinkling in a cool photo every now and then.

I can’t jack your thing. It just wouldn’t be right…

Hockey Blogger at Pensburgh.com

by GoPens! on Jul 17, 2010 11:55 PM EDT up reply actions  

Wow

Geez…there’s alot to read here.

It looks like F & B doesn’t like Sid—and that’s ok. Some people don’t like Ovie. Some people, Like me, want Sid to win everything…it would have been nice for Staal to win this year, too.

I have a friend who likes Ovie because I don’t—he does it just to piss me off…that’s ok too. But I respect Ovie and his talent and enjoy watching him and the Caps play.

Maybe you two guys could sit down and have a beer? Or a shot to Tequila?

One Who Lives And Breathes All Things Penguins

by PensFanInDenver on Jul 17, 2010 8:51 PM EDT up reply actions  

You might want to start with two shots…Idk if beer will work at this point.

I've told [a 9 months pregnant] Nathalie that she can't have the baby on a game night. I'm not missing a playoff game. -Mario Lemieux in 1993

by PensFan8725 on Jul 17, 2010 9:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

I actually never said I didn’t like Sid. He could easily have won the MVP and I wouldn’t have bitched about it. I’ve praised his play and noted his elite talent on many, many occasions. I hate the hype machine that is associated with him, but that’s entirely different from his play on the ice and I recognize that. No need to put words in my mouth, if you want to know how I feel about Sid you can just as Hooks Orpik. He’ll be an accurate and honest representation. What I do take offense to is the notion that the MVP race wasn’t razor thin and that any of the competitors stood head and shoulders above. GP clearly thinks Sid is the only reasonable winner, and I think that’s ridiculous. He takes this conclusion so far as to actually suggest putting the ESPY on the same footing as the Hart or Pearson just because the internet voters agreed with his assessment. I guess that means Mike Komisarek really is an elite D as well. I never said who should have won, I just maintain that any of the three would be deserving recipients. GP clearly does not share that, and that’s my beef.

And I don’t think all advanced stats are garbage, but I do think the stats that purport to quantify quality of teammates/opposition are basically garbage. They are good for only a very general view and should be taken with a ton of salt. They ignore player specialization, systems, match ups, and a whole host of other factors. The Corsi-based stat is marginally better, because Corsi is marginally better than plus/minus, but unless you think Corsi is the ultimate way to evaluate the quality of a player, the Corsi based stats still have the same type of flaws as the plus/minus based stats.

Saying that any elite player faces qualitatively different competition from the others is ridiculous. Every team faces PIT/WAS/VAN thinking that Crosby/AO/Sedin is the player/line they need to shut down. Does anyone honestly think that any coach in the league isn’t giving those guys their best shot at shutting them down? VAN may avoid matchups more aggressively, but it doesn’t really change the picture. 50% of the games are on the road where you have no matchup control, and even at home teams are going to find ways to match. Plus, avoiding matchups has a negative impact on player performance that just isn’t quantifiable at this point. GP wants to use the numbers that support the Pens to “prove” Sid deserved the MVP, but when it comes to analyzing the non-Pens all of a sudden there just isn’t enough data to show that Backstrom is elite, or even significantly better than Zubrus. Those are also patently ridiculous claims. If GP can find anyone that thinks Koivu is a better player than Backstrom, I’m all ears. I don’t even think Wild fans would agree with that. And literally nobody thinks the ESPYs are in the same class as the NHL-sanctioned awards.

Lockout talk makes me want to go out and choke an old lady - Elliotte Friedman

by Rob Parker on Jul 18, 2010 3:35 PM EDT up reply actions   2 recs

+1

Shero gets an A. Burkie gets a checkmark.

by PopRocks on Jul 18, 2010 3:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

What I do take offense to is the notion that the MVP race wasn’t razor thin and that any of the competitors stood head and shoulders above.

This is your take on the race. What you’re saying, in effect, is that anyone who doesn’t agree with you is ridiculous. And yet, I’m being unreasonable.

He takes this conclusion so far as to actually suggest putting the ESPY on the same footing as the Hart or Pearson just because the internet voters agreed with his assessment.

I’ll repeat this for the last time: I think, and I implied, that both awards are meaningless.

They are good for only a very general view and should be taken with a ton of salt.

When you look at Corsi on the team level, they do an incredibly good job of predicting who will go the farthest toward winning a Cup. When you look at Corsi on the individual level, you get a sampling of the best players in the NHL. I don’t see where you think Corsi does a terrible job predicting hockey success.

GP wants to use the numbers that support the Pens to "prove" Sid deserved the MVP, but when it comes to analyzing the non-Pens all of a sudden there just isn’t enough data to show that Backstrom is elite, or even significantly better than Zubrus.

Backstrom is better Zubrus, as I repeated in an earlier post. I don’t know by how much though, but if you’ve settled on something, then that’s fine. And stating that backstrom is buoyed by a ton of factors in his favor is me suddenly claiming “there’s not enough data.” You’re stringing together a straw man.

Hockey Blogger at Pensburgh.com

by GoPens! on Jul 18, 2010 4:28 PM EDT up reply actions  

This is your take on the race. What you’re saying, in effect, is that anyone who doesn’t agree with you is ridiculous. And yet, I’m being unreasonable.

Considering the players, fans, and writers all chose a different guy, I think that’s pretty conclusive support for my position. There are very few years where there’s only one legitimate candidate, and I didn’t see anyone score 65 this year.

You can say “both awards are meaningless” but that still attempts to put the ESPY on the same footing as the Hart. The ESPY is more meaningless, hands down. Go put a poll on From the Rink or BtN or wherever, every single person will agree the ESPY’s are less meaningful than the Hart/Pearson. And I’m sure the players would agree as well.

Corsi on the team level is about a TEAM. Using it to determine the quality of an individual is wrong. The ‘Hawks had a great team system and great individuals, that’s why they won. My whole point is that the “quality” stats can’t separate the team from the individual.

I never said Corsi is horrible, in fact I said it’s an improvement on plus/minus. But when we talk about quality of competition, Corsi doesn’t really define that. Is Prospal a more difficult opponent than Orpik? I know which guy I’d rather see AO on the ice against, but your QCorsi would put Prospal as the higher “quality” opposition.

The only reason you know that Corsi gives you a sampling of the best players in the NHL is because you resort to extrinsic evidence. You already know a lot about those top guys, and it’s not that they have awesome Corsi.

You admitted Backstrom was better than Zubrus, but did it in a way that called his talent into question. If you can’t see that Backstrom is clearly on another level, not just a better player but on a whole other level, then you don’t really know hockey that well, and that’s why I made that conclusion.

Lockout talk makes me want to go out and choke an old lady - Elliotte Friedman

by Rob Parker on Jul 18, 2010 4:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

*

And really, does that list of Corsi on the individual level look anything like your list of “Top 20 NHL players”? I’d say it’s at best 50% (skaters only, of course) and that’s what we are considering a relatively good measure of “quality.”

Brian Campbell is above Lidstrom and Rafalski. Does that pass the smell test? Campell is also above Doughty, Suter, Crosby, Chara, Kesler, J. Staal, Parise, and last but not least, Norris trophy winner Duncan Keith? Cambpell is tenth in the league according to Corsi. Again, does that pass the smell test? If Corsi isn’t a conclusive determination of individual “quality” then averaging it up and applying it as a number that reflects “quality of competition” is going to be similarly flawed. Corsi is alright, and better than plus/minus, but it’s not good enough to determine “player quality” in my opinion.

Lockout talk makes me want to go out and choke an old lady - Elliotte Friedman

by Rob Parker on Jul 18, 2010 4:55 PM EDT up reply actions  

The question has been answered

As if it needed to be. But just in case, I think it’s fair to say that the NHL awards are far more meaningful given the near certainty that we would not be spending this much time discussing the matter had Sid won the Hart and lost the ESPY.

by PensAreYourDaddy on Jul 18, 2010 5:00 PM EDT up reply actions  

And really, does that list of Corsi on the individual level look anything like your list of "Top 20 NHL players"?

Brian Campbell is above Lidstrom and Rafalski. Does that pass the smell test? Campell is also above Doughty, Suter, Crosby, Chara, Kesler, J. Staal, Parise, and last but not least, Norris trophy winner Duncan Keith?…Again, does that pass the smell test?

My only comment on this long thread is with respect to over-reliance on some statistical measures.

On this point, I agree w/ FB 100%.

by Diomedes7 on Jul 19, 2010 9:40 AM EDT up reply actions  

Thoughts About Sid, Etc.

I have appreciated all your writings on this blog about everything—you and GP going at it, etc. It has been fun reading and I actually learned quite a bit. I have appreciated alot of it even if I cringed at some of the words and statements and the banter back and forth…

I don’t know your views on Sid but I will ask Hooks.

The Caps have a very good team and the Pens have a very good team. How lucky are we, all of us?

I agree, I hate all the hype attached with Sid/Ovie and all that crap.

As far as the awards go, I can be a little silly because I want Sid to win everyhting, then he will need to buy a seperate house to hold all of his awards: LOL

But no one will agree with anything or everything someone says and we all have a right to our opinions.

Thanks, FB, for all your thoughts. You do spend alot of time thinking about what you write before you actaully post it. That, in itself, is cool.

One Who Lives And Breathes All Things Penguins

by PensFanInDenver on Jul 18, 2010 8:36 PM EDT up reply actions  

I appreciate the kind words. I like coming here, and I know we aren’t always going to agree. This isn’t the first dust up I’ve gotten into over here and it won’t be the last. But if I didn’t respect the work and the opinions here I wouldn’t come around. So even when I come off like a dick, I mean it in the most complimentary way. I know we’re never going to agree on everything, and that’s part of the fun.

And yeah, both fan bases are lucky to have the guys they have. I would just like to see the Caps get a little luckier, of course.

Lockout talk makes me want to go out and choke an old lady - Elliotte Friedman

by Rob Parker on Jul 18, 2010 9:28 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

Well Stated!

One Who Lives And Breathes All Things Penguins

by PensFanInDenver on Jul 18, 2010 10:22 PM EDT up reply actions  

That's Funny!

I would say the ESPY’s are much less important, less meaningful than the NHL awards, etc.

—But it’s nice when Crosby wins anything and everything. I smile.

One Who Lives And Breathes All Things Penguins

by PensFanInDenver on Jul 17, 2010 10:58 AM EDT up reply actions  

Good point up there, Hooks. I was thinking I don’t really care about an “ESPY”, but at least OV did not win!

"90% of the game is physical. The other half is mental." - Yogi Berra

by cyroose on Jul 15, 2010 5:55 PM EDT reply actions  

Good point Hooks, overall is another one of the awards that on the surface may not meaningful, but to win it in the same year as the Messier award and hi 4th consecutive one has some significance, specially as you point out that the media enamored of OVIe the whole season didn’t give it to him. I also agree with Pens Are Your Daddy, that particular award was just the English speaking hockey writers at the time that discriminated against Mario for their own reasons, Was one of the greatest travesties in sport.

by Outcast on Jul 15, 2010 10:20 PM EDT reply actions  

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