Pittsburgh Penguins 1st Quarter Grades

Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sport

Earlier this week we looked at some stats through the first 20 games and compared at how the players stacked up against once another. Now we will look to see if they are living up to their own standards.

The first quarter of the 2013-14 Pittsburgh Penguins season wrapped up this past weekend and we took a quick look at some of the standard stats through 20 games. There were some unexpected results, some pleasant, some disappointing, but we got to see how the team performed as a cohesive unit and in comparison to one another. However, there has still been talk of some plays under performing despite some impressive first quarter numbers, so I wanted to take a look at how the players stacked up compared to their individual expectations.

Unlike the previous article which only looked at the standard stats available via the individual game score sheets I decided to look into some of the available advanced stats using just the 5-on-5 data. I then took the results for this season and compared it to each individual player's average over the past 3 seasons, Current Data divided by Current Data plus Previous Data, in order to determine whether or not they were performing above or below their usual output, greater than 50% meant doing better than average and lower than 50% meant doing worse. I then added on an additional 25% to all results in order to use the 12-point American grading scale in which the midpoint for a C grade is 75%.

For skaters, I looked at 10 different stats, 4 of which were individual stats that I weighted as 4 credits: Goals per 60 minutes, Points per 60 minutes, Fenwick events per 60 minutes, and Fenwick Shooting Percent. The other 6 were on-ice team stats so I weighted them as 3 credits: Goals For per 20 minutes, Goals Against per 20 minutes, Goals For Percent, Fenwick For Percent, Fenwick Shot Percent, and Fenwick Save Percent. I also looked at the luck factor by looking at Fenwick PDO but did not include that in the grading. For goaltenders I only had 4 stats to look at, I weighted Save Percent at 4 credits as it is the one thing the goalie has the most individual control over, and then at 3 credits had Points Percent, Goals Against Average, and Shutout Percent since they are more influenced by the team as a whole.

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