Unconventional Wisdom - End of Season GvT and PS Rankings

Kelvin Kuo-USA TODAY Sports

Now that we are into the playoffs and the final regular season numbers have been tabulated, we can take a look at the Pittsburgh Penguins performance from the 2013-14 regular season and see where they stack up with the rest of the league.

The 2013-14 regular season is over and the Pittsburgh Penguins are already rolling through the 1st round of the 2014 NHL Playoffs. Earlier this week we looked at the end of season player grades, but that just compared the players' performance to their own personal average. So this time we wanted to take a look and see where they stack up compared to their peers, which brings us back to our old friends Goals vs Threshold and Points Shares.

Both these metrics have their drawbacks... they are much more heavily weighted towards the offense, there is a decided sample size bias against players who didn't put in a full season, the final rankings wind up top heavy because it is based on the player's contributions to his team's final Goals/Points total meaning players on bottom tier teams get undervalued, and because it is not based on 5-on-5 like other fancystats it also winds up biased towards power play success. However, even with their shortcomings, they are amongst the best overall player evaluation metrics that we currently have available.

Forwards

There were 583 forwards that played at least 1 game in the NHL this year, that comes out to 19 forwards per team on average, enough to dress 6 full lines. The Penguins had one of the highest total number of different forwards due to all their injuries, 26 players took the ice at one point or another this season, although two of those have since been lost to other teams via waivers, while 3 other joined mid-season.

If we were to assume a perfect world, 30 teams with 3 players per line means we should see tiers split into groups of 90. Top end talent, mostly 1st liners, should be in the 1-90 range. Somewhat less offensively talented 2nd liners should fall withing the 91-180 range. Two way shutdown 3rd liners should fall within the 181-270 range. Grinding energy 4th liners should fall within the 271-360 range. Healthy scratches and injury fill-ins should fall within the 361-450 range. And lastly fringe AHL call-ups and untalented goons flesh out the remainder of the spots. Of course there is a lot of overlap, there is obvious overlap in the Top 6 between the 1st and 2nd tier, more defensively minded Top 6 players may fall to the 3rd tier, some 4th liners bump to 3rd line roles or even ones that fall into the 5th or 6th tier get regular work on the 4th line. But in general this is where we would expect to see players fall in an ideal world.

OGvT

Crosby 1, Malkin 13, Kunitz 21, Neal 21, Jokinen 57, Sutter 210, Dupuis 216, Gibbons 223, Goc 254, Megna 282, Stempniak 282, Conner 299, Zolnierczyk 299, Vitale 312, Bennett 324, Leblond 352, Glass 377, Payerl 377, Drazenovic 377, Ebbett 450, Jeffrey 482, Kobasew 501, Sill 523, D`Agostini 566, Adams 576, Pyatt 576.

DGvT

Adams 43, Crosby 43, Kunitz 43, Sutter 73, Jokinen 99, Goc 118, Neal 124, Dupuis 124, Malkin 144, Stempniak 180, Vitale 222, Gibbons 222, Glass 235, Kobasew 285, Megna 328, Sill 350, D`Agostini 378, Bennett 389, Zolnierczyk 408, Conner 439, Jeffrey 439, Leblond 472, Payerl 515, Drazenovic 515, Ebbett 548, Pyatt 577.

GvT

Crosby 1, Malkin 13, Kunitz 18, Neal 45, Jokinen 64, Sutter 136, Dupuis 199, Gibbons 231, Goc 231, Stempniak 246, Vitale 284, Glass 303, Megna 310, Adams 331, Conner 354, Zolnierczyk 354, Bennett 385, Kobasew 402, Leblond 411, Payerl 451, Drazenovic 451, Sill 501, Jeffrey 501, Ebbett 508, D`Agostini 575, Pyatt 582.

OPS

Crosby 1, Kunitz 13, Malkin 14, Neal 16, Jokinen 56, Stempniak 220, Gibbons 237, Dupuis 237, Sutter 257, Goc 257, Megna 285, Conner 295, Bennett 313, Zolnierczyk 355, Vitale 376, Drazenovic 376, Leblond 376, Payerl 427, Jeffrey 477, Ebbett 477, Glass 508, D`Agostini 542, Kobasew 553, Sill 553, Pyatt 565, Adams 576.

DPS

Crosby 4, Kunitz 4, Jokinen 46, Neal 59, Malkin 69, Sutter 175, Dupuis 175, Stempniak 201, Goc 201, Gibbons 245, Glass 293, Vitale 293, D`Agostini 293, Adams 315, Megna 315, Kobasew 315, Bennett 363, Zolnierczyk 384, Jeffrey 384, Sill 434, Conner 434, Payerl 479, Drazenovic 479, Leblond 479, Ebbett 559, Pyatt 578.

PS

Crosby 1, Kunitz 10, Malkin 15, Neal 19, Jokinen 55, Stempniak 217, Dupuis 231, Sutter 241, Gibbons 241, Goc 259, Megna 301, Vitale 324, Bennett 331, Conner 348, Glass 391, Zolnierczyk 391, D`Agostini 391, Leblond 439, Kobasew 479, Jeffrey 479, Drazenovic 479, Payerl 479, Ebbett 523, Sill 565, Adams 568, Pyatt 582.

Defensemen

There were 303 D that played at least one NHL game this year, that comes out to 10 D per team on average, enough to dress 5 full pairs. The Penguins had their fair share of injuries to the blue line, but were only slightly above average with 11 different D taking the ice at some point this season.

In a perfect world, 30 teams means we should see tiers split into groups of 60. The top end talent, those that get 1st pair minutes, should fall from 1-60. The two way shutdown 2nd pair D then tend to fall in the 61-120 range. The less talented and more sheltered 3rd pair D should fall within 121-180. The healthy scratches and injury fill-ins then tend to fall within the 181-240 range. And then the fringe AHL call-ups should flesh out the remaining spots. And as with the Fs, there is some overlap, sometimes the defensive shutdown D get top pair minutes, or sometimes the less talented 3rd pairing get bigger roles.

OGvT

Niskanen 9, Maatta 29, Letang 39, Engelland 80, Martin 147, Bortuzzo 172, Samuelsson 198, Dumoulin 220, Despres 246, Orpik 291, Scuderi 303.

DGvT

Niskanen 9, Orpik 42, Maatta 65, Scuderi 88, Martin 150, Despres 154, Bortuzzo 169, Engelland 182, Letang 199, Dumoulin 199, Samuelsson 263.

GvT

Niskanen 6, Maatta 36, Letang 85, Orpik 126, Engelland 141, Martin 161, Bortuzzo 179, Despres 183, Scuderi 203, Dumoulin 223, Samuelsson 256.

OPS

Niskanen 13, Letang 36, Maatta 41, Engelland 82, Martin 105, Bortuzzo 174, Dumoulin 199, Samuelsson 231, Orpik 259, Despres 259, Scuderi 302.

DPS

Niskanen 1, Maatta 39, Orpik 73, Martin 146, Bortuzzo 164, Despres 164, Samuelsson 164, Letang 177, Engelland 191, Dumoulin 233, Scuderi 260.

PS

Niskanen 1, Maatta 34, Letang 92, Orpik 120, Martin 134, Engelland 156, Bortuzzo 175, Despres 185, Scuderi 207, Dumoulin 244, Samuelsson 270.

Goaltenders

There were 97 goalies that played at least one NHL game this year, which gives us 3 per team on average. The Penguins actually fell below this average, having only used the same 2 G all year. With 30 teams in the league, we should expect our starting goalies to be within 1-30, our backups in the 31-60 range, and the 3rd string AHL call-ups fleshing out the remainder.

GGvT

Fleury 21, Zatkoff 46

DGvT

Fleury 7, Zatkoff 42

GvT

Fleury 15, Zatkoff 49

GPS

Fleury 12, Zatkoff 52

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join PensBurgh

You must be a member of PensBurgh to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at PensBurgh. You should read them.

Join PensBurgh

You must be a member of PensBurgh to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at PensBurgh. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9355_tracker