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the Underlying Numbers: Penguins vs. Blue Jackets

The Penguins were looking to keep in their winning ways against their division rival, the Columbus Blue Jackets, who came to town Friday evening. Columbus got out to a 2-0 lead and held on for the win, despite the Penguins rallying late in the 3rd to try and tie the game.

Matt Kincaid/Getty Images

What a dull game. If the Penguins had played for the first 50 to 55 minutes like they did in the last 5 to 10, it would have been exciting and they probably would have won. Onto the next one.

Lines and Pairings

Glad to see Maatta and Letang back together.

Highlights

Positives

Marc-Andre Fleury must have studied devil magic in the offseason. It's the only thing that can explain some of the saves he is making and things he is doing.

Noted pissbaby Brandon Dubinsky was not in the lineup. He was a late scratch with an upper-body injury, presumably from all those pushups in practice that John Tortorella had the Blue Jackets doing the day before.

Patric Hornqvist, man. The guy never stops. He and Jack Johnson were going at it all night.

Then Hornqvist shifted his attention to Matt Calvert and Cam Atkinson late in the game. He got the goal for the deflection off of Kris Letang's shot, and would have tied the game, had kicking been legal. He's been a catalyst on this new-look Penguins 3rd line with Nick Bonino and Chris Kunitz.

Negatives

Junk power play again. Giving up a 2-on-0 while on the man advantage is just unacceptable.

Speaking of junk....come on, Fedor Tyutin. Get out of here with this nonsense.

Losing to a division team is generally a negative, however you want to spin it.

Stats

Blue Jackets Penguins
Goals 2 (Hartnell, Saad) 1 (Hornqvist)
Shots on Goal 28 29
5v5 Corsi For Percentage 51.4% 48.6%


Talk about waiting until crunch time to turn it on. If they could've turned it on, say, 10 minutes earlier? Could've been an entirely different ending. 

Analytics

Even Strength Shot Attempts

The polar opposite of what we saw against the Canadiens on Wednesday night. On Wednesday, the Penguins forced the Canadiens to the outside for bad angle shots and chances, while getting their chances from inside the scoring areas. Last night, the Blue Jackets were peppering shot attempts from inside the danger area, while you can see how many of the Penguins chances were from distance.

Power Play Shot Attempts

Those missed shot attempts from the slot/faceoff circle area make me a sad panda.

Shot attempt charts provided by War on Ice.

Expected Goals map provided by Don't Tell Me About Heart.

A refresher of the key for these charts (except the diamonds are now circles)

More information and description/analysis of Expected Goals can be found here on Hockey Graphs.

In the previous post here using these charts for the first time, I mentioned how it factors in things like shot quality. A more detailed list of what factors into that shot quality is below:

Why in god's name did Crosby, Dupuis, and Bennett get downright peppered by a line of Goloubef, Connauton, and Prout? I don't even know who two of those people are, and the other one sucks.

A basic description on how to read these charts: Cross reference a player from each team, and that box shows how many shot attempts each team had while those two players shared ice time. The + and - are from the home team's perspective.

For a refresher on how to read these charts, a write-up with descriptions of what colors mean, which lines to read, and more: H2H Corsi Chart Primer

H2H Chart via Muneeb Alam from Japers' Rink

5v5 Individual Shot Charts provided by War on Ice

Disclaimer: if the bars may look better/worse on one graph than another, they are centered around 50% to show relativity to the rest of the forwards/defensemen.

Line-by-line Corsi data provided by Hockey Stats

The Penguins are headed to Newark to square off against the New Jersey Devils this evening, Prediction: another dull game!