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UPDATE: As per @DarrenDreger, #NHL GMs told expansion decision is expected by June draft #TSNHockey pic.twitter.com/EBLIeUOJEH
— SportsCentre (@SportsCentre) March 16, 2016
NHL expansion is probably coming sooner than later. What will it mean for the Penguins?
From the good Pierre:
And Dregs
Expansion draft potential. Each team has option of protecting 3d, 7F and I goalie or 8 skaters +1 goalie. Expansion determined before draft
— Darren Dreger (@DarrenDreger) March 16, 2016
That doesn't quite make sense, and in the rush to tweet against all the other reporters, I assume he made a typo and meant either 3D+7F+0G or 8 skaters + 1G, which makes sense with how the NHL has had previous drafts.
So, going off this, the following notable players would be exempt from a potential expansion draft this summer:
- Forwards: Daniel Sprong, Oskar Sundqvist, Dominik Simon, Conor Sheary
- Defensemen: Derrick Pouliot
- Goaltenders: Matt Murray, Tristan Jarry
So who should the Pens protect?
Well, it's probably a good idea to keep Marc-Andre Fleury and select 8 more skaters to keep off limits. The other way to keep 10 skaters doesn't really benefit the Penguins asset wise to lose Fleury at the expense of keeping 2 extra forwards.
No-brainers:
- Sidney Crosby, Evgeni Malkin, Kris Letang, Olli Maatta
Probables (and our choices)
- Brian Dumoulin, Phil Kessel, Patric Hornqvist, Carl Hagelin
Open for selection:
- Chris Kunitz, Nick Bonino, Eric Fehr, Bryan Rust, Scott Wilson, Tom Kuhnhackl, Trevor Daley, Ian Cole, Beau Bennett (RFA), Justin Schultz (RFA)
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Thoughts?
There certainly could be the opportunity to walk away from the Kessel salary cap hit, but that seems short-sighted after one down year,. Just as it wouldn't have been smart to get rid of Sergei Gonchar or Paul Martin after their first less-than-great season in Pittsburgh, washing hands of Kessel (after giving up 2 first round picks to acquire him) would be a poisonous pill.
I could see arguments to keep Kunitz (only 1 year left on contract) over Hagelin, especially if expansion is 2 teams and team would lose 2 players. Otherwise, there's not a lot to sweat losing. It stinks to have to lose a player for nothing, but the unprotected list wouldn't hurt all that much.
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We'll see what becomes of expansion draft and whether or not it happens, but it's always fun on an off-day to think about what could happen.