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NHL Betting Action: Early opening lines for 2019-20 over/unders

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The Penguins end up in a curious spot

Betting Lines Released For Stanley Cup Final At The Westgate Las Vegas Photo by Ethan Miller/Getty Images

Betonline has offered the following opening season point totals for the NHL:

Over/Under Point Totals (From highest to lowest)

Tampa Bay Lightning - 2018-2019 Regular Season Points

Over/Under 108½

***Note: Last year’s opening total was 107½

Toronto Maple Leafs - 2018-2019 Regular Season Points

Over/Under 101½

***Note: Last year’s opening total was 106½

Boston Bruins - 2018-2019 Regular Season Points

Over/Under 100½

***Note: Last year’s opening total was 102½

Vegas Golden Knights - 2018-2019 Regular Season Points

Over/Under 100½

***Note: Last year’s opening total was 96½

Colorado Avalanche - 2018-2019 Regular Season Points

Over/Under 98½

***Note: Last year’s opening total was 90½

Nashville Predators - 2018-2019 Regular Season Points

Over/Under 97½

***Note: Last year’s opening total was 105½

Calgary Flames - 2018-2019 Regular Season Points

Over/Under 96½

***Note: Last year’s opening total was 93½

Dallas Stars - 2018-2019 Regular Season Points

Over/Under 96½

***Note: Last year’s opening total was 94½

Florida Panthers - 2018-2019 Regular Season Points

Over/Under 96½

***Note: Last year’s opening total was 94½

St Louis Blues - 2018-2019 Regular Season Points

Over/Under 96½

***Note: Last year’s opening total was 95½

Washington Capitals - 2018-2019 Regular Season Points

Over/Under 96½

***Note: Last year’s opening total was 98½

Carolina Hurricanes - 2018-2019 Regular Season Points

Over/Under 95½

***Note: Last year’s opening total was 84½

Winnipeg Jets - 2018-2019 Regular Season Points

Over/Under 95½

***Note: Last year’s opening total was 106½

Pittsburgh Penguins - 2018-2019 Regular Season Points

Over/Under 94½

***Note: Last year’s opening total was 103½

New York Islanders - 2018-2019 Regular Season Points

Over/Under 93½

***Note: Last year’s opening total was 83½

San Jose Sharks - 2018-2019 Regular Season Points

Over/Under 93½

***Note: Last year’s opening total was 97½

Arizona Coyotes - 2018-2019 Regular Season Points

Over/Under 90½

***Note: Last year’s opening total was 80½

Chicago Blackhawks - 2018-2019 Regular Season Points

Over/Under 90½

***Note: Last year’s opening total was 84½

Philadelphia Flyers - 2018-2019 Regular Season Points

Over/Under 90½

***Note: Last year’s opening total was 98½

Vancouver Canucks - 2018-2019 Regular Season Points

Over/Under 90½

***Note: Last year’s opening total was 77½

New Jersey Devils - 2018-2019 Regular Season Points

Over/Under 88½

***Note: Last year’s opening total was 91½

Montreal Canadiens - 2018-2019 Regular Season Points

Over/Under 88½

***Note: Last year’s opening total was 80½

New York Rangers - 2018-2019 Regular Season Points

Over/Under 87½

***Note: Last year’s opening total was 75½

Edmonton Oilers - 2018-2019 Regular Season Points

Over/Under 85½

***Note: Last year’s opening total was 91½

Columbus Blue Jackets - 2018-2019 Regular Season Points

Over/Under 84½

***Note: Last year’s opening total was 97½

Minnesota Wild - 2018-2019 Regular Season Points

Over/Under 84½

***Note: Last year’s opening total was 95½

Buffalo Sabres - 2018-2019 Regular Season Points

Over/Under 83½

***Note: Last year’s opening total was 79½

Anaheim Ducks - 2018-2019 Regular Season Points

Over/Under 79½

***Note: Last year’s opening total was 96½

Detroit Red Wings - 2018-2019 Regular Season Points

Over/Under 75½

***Note: Last year’s opening total was 75½

Los Angeles Kings - 2018-2019 Regular Season Points

Over/Under 73½

***Note: Last year’s opening total was 93½

Ottawa Senators - 2018-2019 Regular Season Points

Over/Under 68½

***Note: Last year’s opening total was 71½

If this seems familiar, we looked at this last summer too.

For full disclosure on checking in, I went just 3-5 last year — this is why gambling’s hard! But, some were right there, for instance I took Colorado over 90.5 and they ended up with 90. Right idea, but just fell oh so short.

Which, if you don’t have the pleasure of knowing, sports gambling can be tough and unforgivable. I think the main lesson we should have learned is don’t look at the number of points from last year, see a big addition, and then think the team will improve the next season, as known as why Toronto had more points in 2017-18 than 2018-19 despite adding John Tavares in the middle. I mean, I fell for it with Ilya Kovalchuk though, so I can’t talk.

Anyways, what do we see here?

For starters, the bettors in Vegas, like the rest of many observers with a national perspective, sees the Penguins as falling back to the middle of the pack. You only need 95 points now to win an over, last year it was 103. Last year Pittsburgh got 100 points in the standings, so the under was the proper play.

Some plays I like:

Under

NYI: Well, I went under on them last year and they were probably the surprise team of the league. But this year they’re looking down 93.5 points and have lost the goaltending of Robin Lehner, a major reason they outperformed expectations in 2018-19. I’ll take them to regress this year.

Vegas: A line of 100.5 is pretty high up there and I think as of now they have like two or three good defensemen. They’re very deep up front and we all know Marc-Andre Fleury is capable of stacking up a lot of wins, but this year there’s not that many big numbers. And it’s not hard to slip and not get triple digits.

Arizona: It probably won’t be a popular opinion but 90.5 is a high number for a team that doesn’t have a ton down the middle (center, defense, healthy goalies). Also Phil Kessel is mainly a playmaker, as we all know. Who is he passing it to that will score?

Over

Chicago: Lehner will be a safety net if Corey Crawford can’t go, and they have some young talent and new faces on defense. I don’t think they’re soaring over 90.5, but I say they’ll clear it.

San Jose: More than 93.5 points for a team that traditionally is a solid regular season performer, good coach, deeply talented? Ok, I’ll take that.

Penguins: I want to believe a Pens’ team with Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin aren’t going to end up with less than 95 points, even with questionable roster moves that have weakened and lessened the lower half of the lineup. Vegas’ summer line ended up being 3.5 too high last year, now it feels like they’re about 2-3 points too low this year. Let’s hope anyways