On a night when the Penguins had to sit and watch the standings and hope for some things to go their way — a few things did turn out favorable for Pittsburgh’s playoff chances.
According to Micah Blake McCurdy’s model at HockeyViz, the Penguins went into Monday evening’s games with a 43% chance of making the playoffs.
Thanks to an Islanders loss to the Capitals, the Penguins got a 12% boost. However, the Panthers were able to claw back and take the Maple Leafs to overtime, cutting into Pittsburgh’s chances by 5%. Add another 1% hit from Buffalo winning in the shootout against the Rangers, and all-in-all, at the end of the night, the Penguins chances improved slightly from 43% to 49%.
The bigger story after these games, though, is that the Penguins now control their own path to the postseason. Going into last night, the team needed some help, and they got it.
you're welcome or whatever pic.twitter.com/CfOWhi2WZT— Washington Capitals (@Capitals) April 11, 2023
Things are far from a sure thing, especially in the NHL where anything can happen, but things have swung dramatically in just one night and the Penguins now will decide their own fate.
A Penguins win against the Blackhawks tomorrow would provide a significant swing and put the team within one more win of locking up their 17th straight postseason appearance.
Puck drop at PPG Paints Arena is scheduled for 7:30 p.m.